Boys -
Girls
New Prairie Semi-State
2010
-
2011 -
2012
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Valparaiso |
100.0% |
1.0 |
53 |
18 |
141 |
98.3 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LaPorte |
100.0% |
3.2 |
132 |
41 |
287 |
1.1 |
46.1 |
23.2 |
12.9 |
7.8 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crown Point |
99.8% |
4.7 |
158 |
50 |
298 |
0.2 |
15.7 |
20.3 |
17.5 |
14.5 |
10.2 |
8.2 |
6.1 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chesterton |
100.0% |
4.9 |
161 |
56 |
310 |
0.2 |
16.2 |
19.4 |
16.6 |
13.0 |
11.4 |
8.2 |
5.9 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Andrean |
99.0% |
5.9 |
176 |
68 |
307 |
0.1 |
7.7 |
12.0 |
12.7 |
14.0 |
12.5 |
12.1 |
10.3 |
7.8 |
5.6 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hobart |
97.7% |
6.3 |
182 |
80 |
310 |
0.1 |
5.5 |
9.3 |
12.6 |
12.9 |
13.1 |
11.6 |
10.6 |
9.4 |
6.7 |
4.0 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Portage |
100.0% |
6.8 |
189 |
78 |
346 |
0.1 |
3.8 |
6.6 |
10.9 |
12.8 |
13.2 |
13.3 |
11.9 |
9.8 |
8.1 |
5.8 |
3.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
New Prairie |
100.0% |
7.7 |
201 |
90 |
322 |
|
1.2 |
3.3 |
6.6 |
9.2 |
12.4 |
14.2 |
14.3 |
13.2 |
11.5 |
8.6 |
4.7 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lowell |
92.2% |
8.2 |
207 |
81 |
349 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
6.8 |
9.2 |
10.9 |
13.0 |
13.7 |
13.2 |
10.3 |
5.6 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
McCutcheon |
100.0% |
8.7 |
217 |
59 |
380 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
7.7 |
10.5 |
11.4 |
14.0 |
14.4 |
14.3 |
11.1 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lake Central |
75.9% |
9.6 |
229 |
106 |
351 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
7.4 |
10.7 |
13.7 |
14.9 |
12.7 |
2.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Munster |
34.7% |
10.7 |
247 |
127 |
355 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
5.4 |
9.2 |
8.9 |
3.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
West Lafayette |
100.0% |
10.9 |
251 |
122 |
389 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
5.1 |
9.2 |
14.4 |
21.6 |
31.6 |
9.9 |
2.2 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Highland |
0.7% |
12.1 |
283 |
238 |
332 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Culver Academies |
100.0% |
13.3 |
314 |
173 |
425 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
10.7 |
42.5 |
27.7 |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Northfield |
100.0% |
13.8 |
332 |
193 |
421 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
5.4 |
24.9 |
45.0 |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rochester |
100.0% |
14.5 |
363 |
208 |
483 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
10.5 |
23.1 |
63.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Mitch Hubner |
LaPorte |
15:39 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
66.1 |
23.4 |
9.1 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ari Coulopoulos |
Valparaiso |
15:51 |
100.0% |
1.9 |
16.9 |
37.0 |
36.8 |
6.2 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alec Kostelnik |
Morgan Twp |
15:51 |
100.0% |
1.9 |
16.7 |
36.3 |
35.0 |
7.6 |
2.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Peyton Reed |
Valparaiso |
16:17 |
100.0% |
5.9 |
|
0.2 |
3.8 |
19.1 |
15.7 |
12.8 |
10.9 |
8.1 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
Jake Baranowski |
Highland |
16:20 |
100.0% |
7.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
3.1 |
12.5 |
12.8 |
10.6 |
9.9 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
Andrew Cartwright |
West Lafayette |
16:20 |
100.0% |
7.3 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
3.0 |
11.6 |
11.6 |
10.8 |
9.7 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
6.5 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Nick Arndt |
New Prairie |
16:21 |
100.0% |
7.5 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.9 |
10.8 |
11.5 |
10.5 |
9.8 |
8.3 |
7.8 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
Kyle Eller |
Lowell |
16:21 |
100.0% |
7.6 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
10.9 |
11.0 |
10.6 |
9.7 |
8.5 |
7.6 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
Brent Dunn |
Hobart |
16:22 |
100.0% |
8.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
9.4 |
10.4 |
10.2 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
7.7 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
Tyler Rusboldt |
Chesterton |
16:28 |
100.0% |
10.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
3.5 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
Ahmad Aljobeh |
Valparaiso |
16:32 |
100.0% |
13.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
Ian Silver |
New Prairie |
16:32 |
100.0% |
13.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
Mason McKinney |
McCutcheon |
16:34 |
100.0% |
14.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
Caleb Augustus |
Northfield |
16:35 |
100.0% |
15.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
Landon Davison |
Valparaiso |
16:35 |
100.0% |
15.4 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
Daniel Walters |
Crown Point |
16:36 |
100.0% |
15.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
Leopoldo Burguete |
Culver Academies |
16:36 |
100.0% |
16.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
Tom Cierniak |
Crown Point |
16:36 |
100.0% |
16.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
Pat Musgrave |
Andrean |
16:37 |
100.0% |
17.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
Kyle Nurse |
Wheeler |
16:39 |
82.0% |
16.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
Tom Bolanowski |
Munster |
16:45 |
98.5% |
22.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
Jasen Egolf |
Hebron |
16:46 |
67.4% |
20.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
Anthony Best |
Portage |
16:46 |
100.0% |
23.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
Alex Ray |
Crown Point |
16:46 |
99.8% |
24.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
Blaine Wolf |
Andrean |
16:47 |
99.7% |
24.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
Taylor Bisacchi |
Valparaiso |
16:47 |
100.0% |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
Dakota Dubbs |
LaPorte |
16:48 |
100.0% |
25.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
Tony Rigoni |
Munster |
16:51 |
95.6% |
26.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
Patrick Dalton |
Valparaiso |
16:52 |
100.0% |
27.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
Austin Palombizio |
Chesterton |
16:52 |
100.0% |
27.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.0 |